Insights

BOE faces challenge as yields skyrocket following disappointing jobs report

Quick Take

  • The UK jobs report was released today (June 13,) with unemployment reaching a low of 3.8%, which was lower than the forecasted 4%.
  • Other metrics indicate wage-price spirals and persistent inflation, complicating the Bank of England’s efforts to manage the economy.
  • Controlling inflation in the UK may require an economic downturn, notably a recession.
  • As a result, yields across the yield curve have skyrocketed.
  • The two-year yield reached its highest level since 2008, with other yields continuing to climb, reminiscent of the financial challenges of the mini-budget experienced last October.
UK pay growth and services inflation: (Source: MacroScope)
UK pay growth and services inflation: (Source: MacroScope)
Yields: (Source: TradingView)
Yields: (Source: TradingView)

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