Insights

Bitcoin continues to follow the liquidity plus the aggregation of central bank balance sheets

Quick Take

  • As the global world faces extreme inflation, central banks try to rein in inflation by decreasing their balance sheets (quantitative tightening) and increasing interest rates.
  • The blue line is Bitcoin which has soared roughly 50% year to date.
  • The orange line aggregates central bank balance sheets, including the US, EU, UK, Japan, and China.
  • The red line is the fed net liquidity indicator; the formula is as follows; net liquidity = (fed balance sheet – (Treasury General Account + Reverse Repo)) / units.
  • All three metrics have increased from their respective bottoms in October 2022 — while the balance sheet of the major central banks has increased to 756 trillion from roughly 706 trillion
  • Japan and China have continued to increase their balance sheet — despite high inflation and undoing the work the US, EU, and UK are trying to achieve.
Bitcoin, balance sheets and liquidity: (Source: Trading View)
Bitcoin, balance sheets and liquidity: (Source: Trading View)
Central bank balance Sheets: (Source: Trading View)
Central bank balance Sheets: (Source: Trading View)

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